24 OCTOBER 2007

HU JINTAO SUCCESSION

The list of the politburo standing committee, the only one giving a hierarchy order in the CCP show that, finely, Xi Jinping, the new boss of Shanghai, beat out the protégé of Hu Jintao. That show that Hu Jintao has not yet a free hand on the CCP.

He has been obliged to compromise with the Jiang Zemin Shanghai faction : the retirement of Zen Qinghong in exchange of Xi Jinping promotion. When somebody is in the SCPB, he normally never be downgrade.

That means that normally, Xi will be the next general secretary of the CCP. But, in fact, for Hu, Xi is not an unsuitable person. They together came from the Communist Youth League.

One thing, very expected fact is sure : Wen Jiabao will be reelected as Prime Minister, next year in March.