The following article written by Mitchell Landsberg for the Lost Angeles Time is excatly what I think
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/asia/la-fg-marx26jun26,1,4899408.story?page=1&coll=la-asia

While continuing to debate about the possiblity of the youth as a force to end the communist party power, I remind a question rised by Linsi : what a western style democratic system could give a more for Chinese people ?

Pokkha, on June.28 shared this article on the SMS as a threat to the Communist Party
http://www.economist.com/world/asia/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9367055

Before that John had already posted this one
http://www.asiaobserver.com/component/option,com_jd-wp/Itemid,435/p,40/#more-40

To keep his power and blocking the rise of potential oppositions the Jiang Zemin invited private sector business to join the CCP and some dozen of them are members of the NPA and of the CPCCP.

The young people are more free to have the of live they want, but the message is clear "Do what you want, except politics"

Now, Hu jintao is going in a new directions : the eight small "democratic" parties. For the first time, two no-CCP members have been appointed ministers. The first time since 1957.

In April, Wan Gang has been named minister of Science and Technology and, on June 29, Chen Zhu has been appointed as Health minister minister of Health. Both of them have been trained abroad, the first in Germany and the scond one in France. The two belong to the China Zhi Gong (Public Interest Party)

To keep his power and blocking the rise of potential oppositions the Jiang Zemin invited private sector business to join the CCP and some dozen of them are members of the NPA and of the CPCCP.

The young people are more free to have the of live they want, but the message is clear "Do what you want, except politics"

Now, Hu jintao is going in a new directions : the eight small "democratic" parties. For the first time, two no-CCP members have been appointed ministers. The first time since 1957.

In April, Wan Gang has been named minister of Science and Technology and, on June 29, Chen Zhu has been appointed as Health minister minister of Health. Both of them have been trained abroad, the first in Germany and the scond one in France. The two belong to the China Zhi Gong (Public Interest Party)

For the best known China Watcher Willy Lam, Hu Jintao has chosen to implement Maoist-era campaigns to battle the CCP's crisis of confidence.
http://www.jamestown.org/china_brief/article.php?articleid=2373400

For me the CCP could loose his power under several conditions.

1) Divisions inside the CCP

2) A large aspiration in the country for a more democratic system

3)His power challenged by some forces :

31) The rise of a bourgeoisie wanting to have a place in the decision making on economy throught polical ways.
32) Everywhere in the world, the young are the sprout of the Revolution. Is it the case in China today ?
33) In China there are a lot of demonstrations. Can they provoque an organized uprising ?
34) Could the rising difference between income has as a result a fight against the CCP¨?
35) Are there others big problems challenging the CCP power, such as ecology ?

Today I rise the point 33

33) In China there are a lot of demonstrations. Can they provoque an organized uprising ?

I wait for some answers before to give you my point of view

In today Guardian (July 12), Isabel Hilton wrote an article named "China's one party monopoly of power is coming to an end"

I din't found it persuasive, but a lot of comments by readers are interesting.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/china/story/0,,2124354,00.html

The last question I rised was :

33) In China there are a lot of demonstrations. Can they provoque an organized uprising ?

My answer is defitively no.

All the major demonstrations, several ten of thousands every years according to the Civil Affairs Ministry, are linked to very different kinds of situations with no relation between them.

Among the most subjects of demonstrations are workers who don't receive their pension, peasants suffering of new local taxes or who's fields are confistacated for now roads, railways or golf grounds. It is also the case in the main cities of peoples whose house will be brok down for new buildings or roads.

All these people are not linked and just fighting for their own problem. There are not connection with the different sources of grevance. And in each case, if some leaders appeared, they are arrested and heavely condemned for many years in jail.

Hi Caroline,

You told me that you have a comment on this topic. Please do it