Let’s us examine on the small bombs blasts in one week in Myanmar.
The junta claimed that they were made by ethnic Karen rebels KNU.

Thailand Based analysts of the opposition side such as Win Min and Htay Aung claimed that they were planted by Junta itself to unit the Military (http://www.mizzima.com/MizzimaNews/News/2008/Jan/33-Jan-2008.html)

There are two hypotheses on this matter:

1. Assume that that they were planted by the Junta itself. What should be Junta’s reason for this?
Certainly the main reason must be ( not single) for make understand the People of Myanmar that there are chaos and danger of instability in term of political and economic.
Bomb blasts - The innocent people killed
- Tourism will be highly touched
- the decline of already declined economy in general will follow
If theses blasts will continue people might think finally the iron hands will be still necessary to govern the country. Or even they will pray for the road map be completed as quickly as possible. Therefore the military has its won reasons to do it.

Now why the analysts of the opposition side give us the thinking of it must be junta itself who plated theses bombs purposely? To unit the military? Might be true but not the main reason. Because the opposition wish eagerly the disunity of the military - by saying this only – it could disunite the military – give a feeling that may be our army is destroying the lives of our people etc…..however the analysts know well that Myanmar military can hardly be disunited.
When military split, the country will collapse. Anyway why should the opposition’s analysts say it was them - naturally everybody protects its own side.

2. Now suppose that it was the opposition (or ethnic rebels, ABSDF or one of the opposition organisations)
Why they do it?

They know that it is almost impossible to kill the top 5 of the military Junta. Then why they harm the innocent people. They have no other choice. The exiles, ABSDF, the opposition have the good reasons to do it because if the road map will be implemented successfully, their lives will be finished with it. The road map is equal to their end. In the new constitution, almost all MPs elect of 90 will be barred from “be candidate” whether they are imprisoned, exiles. NLD must need to recruit new ones for the new elections. The exiles and the activists inside will be barred from participating in politics ( for the people inside for 10 years and for the exile – no chance at all to return back to the country).

Road map is the end of the exile politics as well as for those living ( not IDP) at border between Thai and Myanmar such as AAPPB, The actvists and many others.

Therefore thy have the good reasons to plant the bombs inside.



Now lets us examine who will get the advantages of bomb blasts – Whoever involved in these bomb blasts, the Junta will get always the advantages of it - of cause!!!
People will be always the victims as ever and for ever!!!


BR

Post edited by: MokeHimKha, at: 2008/01/17 13:31<br><br>Post edited by: MokeHimKha, at: 2008/01/17 13:34